Baja California Weather - TS Karina Forms

Tuesday, 09/02/2008 11:00 AM MDT We have a new Tropical Storm in the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Karina (red arrow) has formed some 265 miles SSW of Cabo San Lucas. Upper level winds have not been conducive to to storm development and will likely impede the growth of Karina. The storm is forecast to move west into the Pacific and at this time will probably not affect Baja weather. We have added the forecast storm track to our SST Surface Chart on the Hurricane Watch page, we hope you find it useful in placing the storm and its path. On the same graphic the SST temperature change over the last week is animated. The +30°C water has all but disappeared from our basin but the 28°-29°C water has expanded dramatically. Further south we will be keeping an eye on some developing thunderstorms in the Gulf of Tehuantepec. This area of disturbed weather is forecast at this time to remain off the southern coast of Mexico and not develop further, but that is what they said about Karina.

Today is going to be very warm and very humid across much of Baja. Overnight lows, because of the humidity, will also not drop like last week. Winds in the Sea are forecast to be light and variable, around 10kts, except in the vicinity of thunderstorms. We have a thermal Low (green arrow) over the Baja California/US border region of little significance, except to raise the threat of afternoon thunderstorms, which exists along the entire east coast of the peninsula.

The remains of Gustav (white arrow) is delivering rain and some wind to Louisiana and will move NE brining much needed rain as it does. It will be a busy week in the Atlantic, as two additional hurricanes and a tropical depression forecast to develop further will threaten the leeward islands later this week. Those forecasters at the NHC will earn their pay this week!
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