Hurricane Ivo Takes Aim at Baja California Sur

Hurricane Ivo Heads for Baja California Sur

Information on Hurricane Ivo direct from Baja California Sur 09AM MDT 09/20/07 Ivo continues to strengthen and is now a Hurricane Category 1 status some 440 miles south southwest of Cabo San Lucas. The current estimated position is 17.1N 112.8 and movement is 330° at 6kts. Central barometric pressure is estimated at 987Mb and winds are 65kts with gusts to 80kts. Hurricane Ivo is now forecast to continue strengthening through Friday, then begin got diminish before making landfall in Baja Sur Monday morning. Tropical storm force winds extend out as much as 60 miles and hurricane force winds only 15 miles from the eye.  Send a link to this page to a friend  The 9AM forecast calls for the storm to intensify, accelerated and curved it back slightly to the north. The outside end of a five day forecast now calls for a tropical storm to pass just north of La Paz sometime late Monday or early Tuesday. Cabo San Lucas may begin seeing cloud cover from spin-off of Hurricane Ivo later today. As with Hurricane Henriette this may prove far more the blessing than the threat. If current forecasts hold true a more subdued storm will bring additional rain early next week. Hurricane Ivo is forecast continue turning to the north  today and bend further around to the NE on Friday. The lower 1/2 of Baja Sur now falls within the five day forecast cone of possibility. By turning to the NE sooner than originally forecast, Ivo will intensify to hurricane strength sooner and remain over warmer water longer. Ivo could still be a hurricane when making landfall in Baja Sur and will certainly have opportunity to regain strength as it move toward the mainland over +28°C waters. Ivo became a hurricane in the 9PM report from the NHC on 09/19. Tropical Storm Ivo evolved from TD12E in the 9PM release from the National Hurricane Center in 9/18. Tropical Depression 12E formed about 670 miles south by southeast of Cabo San Lucas and was declared a tropical depression at 11AM on 09/18/07.. We will continue to monitor the progress of this system over the next few days. The best we could hope for is for the system to weaken to a depression before making landfall in Baja Sur and deliver more much needed rain.

 

 

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